Peter Ralph
8 October – Advanced Biological Statistics
What do we want to know?
How do we measure it?
This can be done by observation or experiment.
An experiment is a study in which the values of important variables (e.g., group membership, dosage) are determined by the experimenters.
Otherwise, it is an observational study.
Note that controlling the set-up doesn’t necessarily make it a good experiment.
Say you perform an experiment on two different strains of stickleback fish, one from an ocean population (RS) and one from a freshwater lake (BP) by making them microbe free. Microbes in the gut are known to interact with the gut epithelium in ways that lead to a proper maturation of the immune system.
Experimental setup: You decide to carry out an experiment by treating multiple fish from each strain so that some of them have a conventional microbiota, and some of them are inoculated with only one bacterial species. You then measure the levels of gene expression in the stickleback gut using RNA-seq. Because you have a suspicion that the sex of the fish might be important, you track it too.
from Logan, Biostatistical Design and Analysis Using R
Will we have the power to detect the effect of interest?
How generalizable will the results be?
What are possible causal explanations?
For (2), remember that \[\begin{equation} \text{(margin of error)} \propto \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} . \end{equation}\]
Toxoplasma gondii infection rates and measures of aggregate neuroticism:
country | prevalence | N18 | country | prevalence | N18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Argentina | 52.7 | 51.3 | Japan | 12.3 | 50.7 |
Australia | 28.0 | 48.6 | Netherlands | 24.5 | 48.6 |
Austria | 36.0 | 48.3 | Norway | 8.6 | 47.4 |
Belgium | 46.8 | 49.6 | Peru | 32.9 | 48.5 |
Brazil | 66.9 | 53.7 | Poland | 46.5 | 50.7 |
China | 24.3 | 53.1 | South Korea | 4.3 | 48.4 |
Croatia | 37.4 | 49.3 | Slovenia | 30.9 | 50.6 |
Czech Rep | 26.6 | 51.4 | Spain | 22.7 | 49.7 |
Denmark | 22.0 | 50.3 | Sweden | 12.5 | 46.3 |
Ethiopia | 16.4 | 48.8 | Switzerland | 36.7 | 47.5 |
France | 45.0 | 52.7 | Thailand | 11.2 | 48.9 |
Germany | 42.7 | 48.1 | Turkey | 46.8 | 51.4 |
Hungary | 58.9 | 53.8 | UK | 6.6 | 50.1 |
Indonesia | 46.2 | 50.0 | USA | 12.3 | 48.1 |
Ireland | 25.0 | 50.1 | Yugoslavia | 66.8 | 51.1 |
Italy | 32.6 | 52.6 | NA | NA |
Lafferty 2006, Can the common brain parasite, Toxoplasma gondii, influence human culture?