Peter Ralph
8 October – Advanced Biological Statistics
What do we want to know?
How do we measure it?
This can be done by observation or experiment.
An experiment is a study in which the values of important variables (e.g., group membership, dosage) are determined by the experimenters.
Otherwise, it is an observational study.
Note that controlling the set-up doesn’t necessarily make it a good experiment.
Say you perform an experiment on two different strains of stickleback fish, one from an ocean population (RS) and one from a freshwater lake (BP) by making them microbe free. Microbes in the gut are known to interact with the gut epithelium in ways that lead to a proper maturation of the immune system.
Experimental setup: You decide to carry out an experiment by treating multiple fish from each strain so that some of them have a conventional microbiota, and some of them are inoculated with only one bacterial species. You then measure the levels of gene expression in the stickleback gut using RNA-seq. Because you have a suspicion that the sex of the fish might be important, you track it too.
Will we have the power to detect the effect of interest?
How generalizable will the results be?
What are possible causal explanations?
For (2), remember that \[\begin{equation} \text{(margin of error)} \propto \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} . \end{equation}\]
Toxoplasma gondii infection rates and measures of aggregate neuroticism:
country | prevalence | N18 | country | prevalence | N18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Argentina | 52.7 | 51.3 | Japan | 12.3 | 50.7 |
Australia | 28.0 | 48.6 | Netherlands | 24.5 | 48.6 |
Austria | 36.0 | 48.3 | Norway | 8.6 | 47.4 |
Belgium | 46.8 | 49.6 | Peru | 32.9 | 48.5 |
Brazil | 66.9 | 53.7 | Poland | 46.5 | 50.7 |
China | 24.3 | 53.1 | South Korea | 4.3 | 48.4 |
Croatia | 37.4 | 49.3 | Slovenia | 30.9 | 50.6 |
Czech Rep | 26.6 | 51.4 | Spain | 22.7 | 49.7 |
Denmark | 22.0 | 50.3 | Sweden | 12.5 | 46.3 |
Ethiopia | 16.4 | 48.8 | Switzerland | 36.7 | 47.5 |
France | 45.0 | 52.7 | Thailand | 11.2 | 48.9 |
Germany | 42.7 | 48.1 | Turkey | 46.8 | 51.4 |
Hungary | 58.9 | 53.8 | UK | 6.6 | 50.1 |
Indonesia | 46.2 | 50.0 | USA | 12.3 | 48.1 |
Ireland | 25.0 | 50.1 | Yugoslavia | 66.8 | 51.1 |
Italy | 32.6 | 52.6 | NA | NA |